TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) – Rain will spread north into the Tampa Bay area today. This is moisture pushed all the way from the center of the tropical wave currently near the Yucatan Peninsula.

5pm track for Potential Tropical Cyclone 1

As of the 5pm update, the National Hurricane Center continues to call this Potential Tropical Cyclone 1 because it has not yet become organized. They issue forecasts and advisories on it now because it will strengthen before making landfall. This way, they can issue tracks and watches and warnings before the storm has fully formed. The track currently takes the system near Fort Myers Saturday morning.

Forecast rainfall totals for the next 24 hours

The rain increases from south Florida to just north of I-4 this evening. The extra clouds and rain help hold highs into the upper 80s. Today’s rain chance is 70%. Northern areas will see much less rain though.

Comparison of 4 different forecast models for rainfall totals.

As the storm passes across the state tomorrow morning, the winds will get stronger, and some areas south of I-4 could feel wind gust 25-35 mph. However, most of the rain has already pushed to the east, so we will get passing downpours but not widespread rain. The National Hurricane Center has parts of our area in a Tropical Storm Warning.

Impacts you can expect by zone.

Once we get into Sunday, the tropical system is quickly heading away from us, and all impacts are gone. It will be a hot and mostly dry day Sunday. Next week will feel like typical summer weather with highs in the low 90s and a few afternoon storms.