TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — Happy Fourth of July! It’s been a hot one, with temperature sin the low to mid 90s this afternoon. Stronger southeasterly breezes meant a later start up time for our afternoon storms. It will also push the storms out to our shores this evening as the chances for rain fade.

The big question is- will it rain for the fireworks displays this evening? The chances for rain will be dropping dramatically during the 9 p.m. hour, but will not be non existent. Forecast models predict 20-30% of our area will still be seeing showers during the 9 p.m. hour.

The good news is that areas that see storms earlier in the evening will be less likely to see any further rain. So if you already saw significant rain prior to 9 p.m, you are less likely to see a second round of rain.

Below are two high resolution forecast models showing what they predict at 9 p..m tonight

By 9:00 p.m. when many firework shows will kickoff, rain chances will decrease to a 30% for just a few storms lingering across the area. Most of the afternoon activity will be well on its way to winding down. All rain will dissipate overnight, skies will clear and temperatures will drop into the upper 70s for Tuesday morning.

4th of July fireworks forecast for Tampa Bay

Tuesday starts off muggy, around 80° and warms quickly. We will reach the low to mid 90s with afternoon through evening chances for showers and storms.

Rain chances will decrease slightly toward the end of the week with some slightly drier air moving in but it will still be hot with highs in the low to mid-90s. By the end of the week we could start to see a few morning showers along the coast.

Westerly winds set up by the end of the week through the weekend. That means extra muggy mornings in the low 80s, a few morning showers in our coastal counties, and early afternoon storms blossoming over our inland counties.

8 day forecast for Tampa Bay

The tropics have quieted down with no new tropical development expected over the next 5 days and no current tropical activity in the Atlantic.