TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — A line of heavy rain moved onshore north of of I-4 earlier this morning. Scattered spots of heavy rain are now redeveloping with rain chances going up to 50% today. Abundant moisture combined with upper level energy will keep rain chances high again today and Monday.
Winds are flowing out of the southwest keeping the moisture streaming in which is why it is so muggy outside. The unsettled, muggy pattern will continue in Monday with rain chances also at a 50%. High temperatures both days will be in the upper 80s north to the low 90s farther south, where less widespread storms are expected.
By the middle of the week, the tropical moisture eases up just a bit. Rain chances Tuesday and Wednesday are at 40%. Highs will still be right around average, near 90 degrees but the onshore wind will continue.
By the end of the week and into the weekend, the pattern flips and we’ll see drier mornings with storms developing in the afternoons along the sea breezes. Temperatures will be hotter with highs in the low to mid-90s and rain chances will be 30% during the afternoons.
The tropics remain active with four areas being monitored by the NHC.
The unsettled weather and upper level energy over Florida this weekend will move out into the Atlantic off the Carolina coastline and likely organize into a tropical depression. There is a 50% chance that develops in the next two days and a 70% chance in the next five days. Either way, this area low pressure will move out to sea, away from Florida.
The second is a tropical wave moving into the Caribbean Sea has a 20% chance of developing in the next two days and a 30% chance in the next five. This wave is not well organized at the moment but gradual development of the system is possible through early next week as it moves west. It is forecast to stay south of the United States at this time.
The third tropical wave is nearly stationary off the coast of Africa. The NHC has dropped the chance of development to 30% over the next five days. While there are only limited showers and storms associated with this wave right now, further development of the system is possible next week.
Another wave will be emerging off the coast of Africa this week and the NHC gives this area a 20% chance over the next five days.