TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — We topped out in the steamy mid to low 90s this afternoon. We saw fewer inland showers tracking across the state towards the Gulf this afternoon thanks to some drier air over us. It’s not enough dry air to lower our humidity, but it is limiting, not eliminating, our potential for evening showers. The showers that do thrive will grow in intensity and coverage in between I-75 and our coastline.

The drier air is no longer a factor on Thursday, increasing our rain chances to a 60%. It’s still the same pattern, we’ll just see a better coverage of those showers and storms in the afternoon. We may see a few isolated showers develop near our coastline during the mid day ahead of the main line of showers and storms tracking westward across the state.

Elevated rain chances stick around for Saturday and Sunday with a widespread coverage of showers and thunderstorms each day.

The 4th of July will be hot, with temperatures climbing into the mid to low 90s. We expect 60% chances for rain, with familiar timing. Showers and thunderstorms will develop along the east coast of Florida and drift westward towards the Gulf during the afternoon and evening hours. We expect most of the storms to be offshore in time for the fireworks displays.

The tropics remain active. Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 is moving west through the Caribbean Sea and will like still become Topical Storm Bonnie.

There’s another tropical wave located behind PTC 2 that has a low chance of developing as it moves west toward the Caribbean over the next 5 days.

There is also the area of showers and thunderstorms in the Gulf of Mexico that the National Hurricane Center is giving a medium chance of developing as it drifts toward Texas. This will stay weak, even if it develops. None of these are a threat to the state of Florida.