TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) – When Tampa City Council members questioned Tampa leaders on coronavirus stats Tuesday, fire chief Nick LoCicero had a sobering update.
“Some of the modeling has showed, and it changed some this morning as a matter of fact, but some of the modeling has showed that we might not see the peak locally until the first part of May,” LoCicero said.
8 On Your Side learned city leaders look at modeling from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation.
The modeling also shows that Florida will likely see a peak in virus cases on May 3.
LoCicero indicated that he thinks the Bay Area will square with that date. He noted that modeling can often change and encouraged people to continue practices to slow the spread of the virus.
“Really to flatten that curve and what we’ve really need to focus on is personal accountability with the safer-at-home initiative,” he said. “It will not happen overnight.”
8 On Your Side spoke to University of South Florida health professor Dr. Tom Unnasch.
“My predictions that I’ve come up with with that, we’d probably see a peak of infections the last week of April,” he said. “That’s just infections and don’t forget it takes a week for symptoms to develop.”
Dr. Unnasch said the thinks people will start to feel sick and show up at local hospitals the last week of April into early May.
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